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CAREER: Attributing Extreme Weather to Stratospheric Variability Using Ensemble Forecasts — NSF Award to Cornell University (NY, $

Accounts of extreme weather typically follow the logic of the "perfect storm", in which several factors come together to produce an event of exceptional severity. Following this logic the event occurred because all the factors aligned in just the right way, a rare occurrence that happened by chance. In that case we sho

Award titleCAREER: Attributing Extreme Weather to Stratospheric Variability Using Ensemble Forecasts
Award ID2340133
AwardeeCornell University
CityITHACA
StateNY
Amount obligated$1,010,185
Principal investigatorPeter Hitchcock
ProgramClimate & Large-Scale Dynamics
Start date09/01/2024
AbstractAccounts of extreme weather typically follow the logic of the "perfect storm", in which several factors come together to produce an event of exceptional severity. Following this logic the event occurred because all the factors aligned in just the right way, a rare occurrence that happened by chance. In that case we should not look for a single deterministic cause for the event but ask instead what factors contributed to it, in what ways, and to what extent did each factor increase the likelihood
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