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Comparative Analysis of Inference Under Uncertainty — NSF Award to University of California-Los Angeles (CA, $594,592)

When people make decisions under uncertainty or with incomplete information, people may rely on mental “fill‑ins” that are part of everyday intelligence but can sometimes lead to errors, like jumping to the wrong conclusion. This project asks why those “quick but wrong” choices happen and whether they arise from the sa

Award titleComparative Analysis of Inference Under Uncertainty
Award ID2523638
AwardeeUniversity of California-Los Angeles
CityLOS ANGELES
StateCA
Amount obligated$594,592
Principal investigatorAaron Blaisdell
ProgramCross-Directorate Activities
Start date07/01/2026
AbstractWhen people make decisions under uncertainty or with incomplete information, people may rely on mental “fill‑ins” that are part of everyday intelligence but can sometimes lead to errors, like jumping to the wrong conclusion. This project asks why those “quick but wrong” choices happen and whether they arise from the same basic rules of intelligent behavior in humans and comparative animal models. Examining these processes in species that lack language is important for being able to understand th
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