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RAPID: Time-Sensitive Human Forest and Model Forecasts for COVID-19 Vaccine and Treatment — NSF Award to American University (DC,

Accurate, time-specific predictions are important for planning and decision making during fast-moving pandemics. In particular, whether an effective COVID-19 vaccine will be available in 9, 12, or 18 months is an issue of vital national interest. The main objective of this project is to compare the accuracy of a new me

Award titleRAPID: Time-Sensitive Human Forest and Model Forecasts for COVID-19 Vaccine and Treatment
Award ID2030015
AwardeeAmerican University
CityWASHINGTON
StateDC
Amount obligated$200,000
Principal investigatorSauleh Siddiqui
ProgramDecision, Risk & Mgmt Sci
Start date08/15/2020
AbstractAccurate, time-specific predictions are important for planning and decision making during fast-moving pandemics. In particular, whether an effective COVID-19 vaccine will be available in 9, 12, or 18 months is an issue of vital national interest. The main objective of this project is to compare the accuracy of a new method for crowd-based forecasting of time-specific outcomes–such as clinical trial transitions of COVID-19 treatments and vaccines–to that of new machine learning models. The resear
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